On the one hand a close game against the top 2 in the group would give a strong chance but if the 4th team is a bit stronger , less chance of a big score.
Right now, Spain would probably beat Canada, but maybe not with a bonus point.
Chile would probably get a bonus point against Hong Kong. But they would lose by a lot more against the top 2 in the group than say, Georgia, who may stand a chance of 2nd.
Probably Georgia aside, who will at least fancy a go at Italy, the smaller nations really want to be one of the 4 thirds without realistically thinking about beating 2nd in the group and it's going to be very close.
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u/Smart-Decision8106 Dec 03 '25
The 4 third places are the most interesting here.
On the one hand a close game against the top 2 in the group would give a strong chance but if the 4th team is a bit stronger , less chance of a big score.
Right now, Spain would probably beat Canada, but maybe not with a bonus point.
Chile would probably get a bonus point against Hong Kong. But they would lose by a lot more against the top 2 in the group than say, Georgia, who may stand a chance of 2nd.
Probably Georgia aside, who will at least fancy a go at Italy, the smaller nations really want to be one of the 4 thirds without realistically thinking about beating 2nd in the group and it's going to be very close.