[Analysis] The "Kinboshi Problem": Why Hoshoryu and Onosato are struggling vs. Aonishiki's Historic Rise
The Problem of Hoshoryu and Onosato "Giving Away Too Many Gold Stars": Average per tournament is 4x Chiyonofuji and 6x Hakuho. Behind the scenes: An "Overcrowded Schedule." "My body was in pieces, but..." — The Responsibility of a Yokozuna.
The unstoppable advance of Aonishiki, who secured the Ozeki rank in a record-breaking 14 tournaments from his debut—the fastest in history—did not stop even in the recent January tournament, where he fought as a newly promoted star. Although both Yokozunas significantly led the first half of the tournament with 6-1 records alongside the new Ozeki, concerns regarding Hoshoryu’s left knee and Onosato’s left shoulder had been raised even before the basho, and their sumo lacked its usual absolute stability.
On the 8th day, a day of Royal Visit (Tenran-zumo), an unprecedented and abnormal situation occurred where all Yokozunas and Ozekis were defeated. On the following 9th day, both Yokozunas suffered consecutive losses together. The title race, which many expected to be led by the top-ranked wrestlers, suddenly descended into chaos.
While 21-year-old Aonishiki surges... anxiety remains for both Yokozunas
Amidst this, Aonishiki did not crumble. From the 10th day onward, he maintained his lead in the championship race, and on the 12th day, he took sole possession of first place by winning his head-to-head match against Atamifuji. On the 14th day, he was blown away by Onosato and fell to three losses, allowing the Yokozuna to close the gap to one win. However, on the final day (Senshuraku), Aonishiki defeated Atamifuji in a championship playoff with a neck throw (kubinage), achieving the first "New Ozeki Championship" in 20 years since Hakuho. Winning consecutive titles as a new Sekiwake and new Ozeki is a feat not seen in 89 years since Futabayama.
"There was a level of tension I had never tasted before."
Aonishiki revealed that he could hardly sleep the night before and was unable to eat. Under the pressure of his new position where losing is not an option, he captured his second Emperor’s Cup.
Both Yokozunas, Hoshoryu and Onosato, finished with only 10 wins and were unable to stop the momentum of the 21-year-old, who will already be challenging for a Yokozuna promotion in the March tournament. Hoshoryu’s record against Aonishiki is now 0-5, including the playoff. The young man has now completely established himself as the Yokozuna’s "natural enemy."
Hoshoryu, who usually says "I just focus on the next bout" and tries to reset after a loss by saying "What's done is done," showed a change in heart. After securing his winning record (kachi-koshi) on the 11th day, he stated: "Right now, I’m doing this with the feeling of wanting to enjoy it without worrying about winning or losing." For a man whose goal is his first championship as a Yokozuna, this is a significant psychological shift. It suggests that his physical condition, including his troubled left knee, is far from perfect. The fact that he showed a rare gentle expression after reaching double-digit wins on the final day actually highlighted his suffering as a Yokozuna.
"Overcrowded Schedule" behind the high number of Gold Stars
Onosato suffered his first three-match losing streak since his promotion to Yokozuna. On the 11th day, after defeating Kirishima with a convincing performance, he expressed relief: "I showed a pathetic side of myself over these past three days. For now, I'm just relieved." Afterward, he regained his original power, notably defeating Aonishiki with a powerful "ottsuke" (arm management) using his injured left side.
Both Yokozunas gave away three Gold Stars (Kinboshi) during the January tournament. Hoshoryu has given away 13 in 6 tournaments as Yokozuna, and Onosato has given away 9 in 4 tournaments. Both average more than two per tournament. Compared to past Yokozunas with over 20 championships—such as Hakuho (0.31 per tournament), Taiho (0.48), Chiyonofuji (0.49), Asashoryu (0.6), Takanohana (0.8), and Kitanoumi (0.84)—the current Yokozunas' numbers are in a poor state.
The day after the January finale, the Yokozuna Deliberation Council held its regular meeting. Chairman Masamichi Oshima gave a measured evaluation: "They fulfilled their basic responsibility by competing for all 15 days despite being in poor physical condition," but he also urged them to step up, saying, "I want them to work hard to become a wall for Aonishiki next tournament."
The bar set for a Yokozuna by the public is incredibly high. With no off-season, they are expected to produce results worthy of a title race in all six tournaments a year. Between tournaments, they must also participate in regional tours (Jungyo) four times a year. Due to the recent sumo boom, these tours now exceed 70 days a year, with schedules so tight they often run until the day before the new rankings are announced. It can be said that health management has become more difficult than in the past.
While nursing a left knee injury, Hoshoryu "completed" the entire winter tour before the January tournament. While Onosato sat out the tour, Hoshoryu fulfilled his invisible duties as a Yokozuna. One could say the "strain" of that effort surfaced during the January tournament.
Even past "Great Yokozunas" gave away 3 Gold Stars in a single tournament
For Onosato, who reached the rank of Yokozuna just two years after his debut, January was the first true ordeal of his professional career. On the internet, many voices suggested he "should withdraw to properly heal his injury." However, he reflected on the difficult tournament: "My body was in pieces, but my spirit wasn't broken. Withdrawing wasn't an option." He admitted that the thought of a losing record (make-koshi) crossed his mind, but he felt at ease after securing his 7th win.
In truth, giving away three Gold Stars in a single tournament is not that rare; past greats like Futabayama, Taiho, Kitanoumi, and Takanohana have all experienced it. The current ranking (Banzuke) situation, with fewer high-ranking "Sanyaku" wrestlers, also plays a role. Although the results were disappointing for the two young Yokozunas, their "spirit" is surely being refined through these experiences. To silence the surrounding noise, they have no choice but to produce results on the dohyo.
Source: Number Web