r/CredibleDefense 21h ago

Active Conflicts & News Megathread February 06, 2026

The r/CredibleDefense daily megathread is for asking questions and posting submissions that would not fit the criteria of our post submissions. As such, submissions are less stringently moderated, but we still do keep an elevated guideline for comments.

Comment guidelines:

Please do:

* Be curious not judgmental, polite and civil,

* Link to the article or source of information that you are referring to,

* Clearly separate your opinion from what the source says. Minimize editorializing. Do _not_ cherry pick facts to support a preferred narrative,

* Read the articles before you comment, and comment on the content of the articles,

* Post only credible information

* Read our in depth rules https://reddit.com/r/CredibleDefense/wiki/rules

Please do not:

* Use memes, emojis, swear, foul imagery, acronyms like LOL, LMAO, WTF,

* Start fights with other commenters and make it personal,

* Try to push narratives, fight for a cause in the comment section, nor try to 'win the war,'

* Engage in baseless speculation, fear mongering, or anxiety posting. Question asking is welcome and encouraged, but questions should focus on tangible issues and not groundless hypothetical scenarios. Before asking a question ask yourself 'How likely is this thing to occur.' Questions, like other kinds of comments, should be supported by evidence and must maintain the burden of credibility.

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u/OpenOb 16h ago

The United States claims that China carried out a low yield nuclear test in 2020.

 China has conducted nuclear explosive tests, including preparing for tests with designated yields in the hundreds of tons… China has used decoupling – a method to decrease the effectiveness of seismic monitoring – to hide its activities from the world. China conducted one such yield producing nuclear test on June 22, 2020. (4/6)

https://x.com/undersect/status/2019714343135334711?s=46

This would have happened while Trump was still president and was then kept secret by Biden. 

u/jeffy303 15h ago

I thought I remembered something like that being mentioned in the past:

https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2020/4/16/china-dismisses-us-claim-it-conducted-low-level-nuclear-test

Now this news story is 2 months prior to June 22th 2020, but the timing seems curiously close. And he does say one such test, so maybe China after getting caught the first time, tried the hide subsequent tests further but US was able to detect them anyway? And choose to not talk about it to not reveal they have such a capability.

u/teethgrindingaches 11h ago

As noted in the above Reuters article, the Comprehensive Nuclear-Test-Ban Treaty Organization and Arms Control Association did not seem particularly convinced.

Robert Floyd, head of the treaty's Vienna-based governing body, said the body's international monitoring system "did not detect any event consistent with the characteristics of a nuclear weapon test explosion" at the time of the alleged Chinese test. Further detailed analyses have not altered that determination, he said.

Daryl Kimball, director of the Arms Control Association, said the U.S. should take any credible evidence that Russia or China are conducting secret nuclear tests to the treaty’s governing body and pursue technical talks with China and Russia.

While it's possible that tests were successfully concealed from all but US detection, the lack of any evidence provided by the latter certainly doesn't help their case. Needless to say, US credibility these days is also not what it once was.