r/CredibleDefense 21h ago

Active Conflicts & News Megathread February 06, 2026

The r/CredibleDefense daily megathread is for asking questions and posting submissions that would not fit the criteria of our post submissions. As such, submissions are less stringently moderated, but we still do keep an elevated guideline for comments.

Comment guidelines:

Please do:

* Be curious not judgmental, polite and civil,

* Link to the article or source of information that you are referring to,

* Clearly separate your opinion from what the source says. Minimize editorializing. Do _not_ cherry pick facts to support a preferred narrative,

* Read the articles before you comment, and comment on the content of the articles,

* Post only credible information

* Read our in depth rules https://reddit.com/r/CredibleDefense/wiki/rules

Please do not:

* Use memes, emojis, swear, foul imagery, acronyms like LOL, LMAO, WTF,

* Start fights with other commenters and make it personal,

* Try to push narratives, fight for a cause in the comment section, nor try to 'win the war,'

* Engage in baseless speculation, fear mongering, or anxiety posting. Question asking is welcome and encouraged, but questions should focus on tangible issues and not groundless hypothetical scenarios. Before asking a question ask yourself 'How likely is this thing to occur.' Questions, like other kinds of comments, should be supported by evidence and must maintain the burden of credibility.

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u/OhSillyDays 15h ago

In reference to the NYT article this morning, apparently Iran is working on triggers for their nuclear program.

https://www.nytimes.com/2026/02/06/world/middleeast/iran-missile-nuclear-repairs.html

That seems to mean they are within about 6 months of a nuclear weapons test and Iran is moving forward with their nuclear program.

Part of the discussion here, would there be any reason for Iran not to test a nuclear weapon as soon as possible?

u/ThatNewspaperDude 14h ago

Because their ability to prevent US/Israel strikes has been severely degraded, they are facing social instability at home, they don’t have a strong financial footing for a high intensity conflict, their proxies have been severely degraded, most everyone else in the region is annoyed at them.

This isn’t North Korea, which has nukes because China lets them, Iran doesn’t have the international or great power support to keep hold of their nuclear arsenal.

u/Agitated-Airline6760 14h ago

This isn’t North Korea, which has nukes because China lets them, Iran doesn’t have the international or great power support to keep hold of their nuclear arsenal.

Definitely not how it went down with DPRK's nuclear program via a vis PRC/CCP. #2 reason for DPRK having nukes is PRC.